Last Week: 2-2
On the Season: 152-111-1 (5-3 in the postseason)
Match-up: #2 New England Patriots (12-4) @ #1 Denver Broncos (13-3)
Time: 3:00PM on CBS
Line: DEN by 6 (OVER)
Score prediction: DEN 31- NE 21
Why: In Denver, can the Patriots’ 26th ranked defense stop arguably the greatest offense in NFL history? They have play-makers that could make Peyton choke, but other than that, Brady is going to have to outduel him again for him to advance to his 6th Super Bowl appearance in 13 years. I think Tommy Boy will have a great game against a swiss-cheese Denver secondary, especially with DB Chris Harris done for the year. But it’s hard to say the Pats will be able to run the ball this time. The Broncos rush defense was 8th best in the league.
Match-up: #5 San Francisco 49ers (12-4) @ #1 Seattle Seahawks (13-3)
Time: 6:30PM on Fox
Line: SEA by 4
Score prediction: SEA 23 – SF 13
Why: CenturyLink Field has been a real house of horrors for the 49ers over the past decade. Under Kaepernick they’ve gotten dismantled last two times there. That menacing Seattle secondary will give Davis, Boldin, and Crabtree fits. Not having Harvin will be a problem for Wilson, It could end up coming down to which young QB can make the biggest plays with their legs, but also could end up being a competition between running games, Lynch vs. Gore. I think Seattle’s homefield advantage will again be too much for San Fran.
So that’ll set up the matchup I’ve penciled in since July: Seattle vs. Denver in Super Bowl XLVIII from MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey.